Still an Omicron New Year

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I’m not going to show the graphs because everything is still off the scale I had been using and I’m not sure if I want to readjust the scales. Cases pretty much up everywhere in the US but we are seeing slowing growth in some of the states where it first popped up.

So I’ll just give a list of the states with where they rank in two categories:

  1. %Change in cases from last week.
  2. Total cases per million

Both are ranked from smallest to largest because small is good. You want slow growth rate and a small number of cases. Right now, in most cases, where we have slow growth, we still have high numbers of cases. And the places where cases dropped off are seeing faster growth but still have relatively low totals compared to the rest of the country.

I just added the two ranks together to provide the list but I haven’t corrected for ties.

  1. Maine (7,3)
  2. Colorado (8,15)
  3. Minnesota (19, 5)
  4. North Carolina (9, 16)
  5. Nebraska (21, 7)
  6. Vermont (10, 19)
  7. Kentucky (18, 12)
  8. Georgia (5, 26)
  9. Iowa (26, 6)
  10. Idaho (35, 1)
  11. Ohio (14, 27)
  12. Tennessee (13, 28)
  13. Montana (40, 2)
  14. Maryland (4, 39)
  15. North Dakota (32, 11)
  16. Arizona (30, 14)
  17. Wisconsin (24, 20)
  18. Virginia (17, 29)
  19. Nevada (38, 8)
  20. DC (1, 48)
  21. Wyoming (45, 4)
  22. New Mexico (41, 9)
  23. Florida (3, 47)
  24. New Hampshire (28, 22)
  25. Indiana (27, 24)
  26. New York (2, 50)
  27. Pennsylvania (20, 32)
  28. Illinois (12, 41)
  29. New Jersey (6, 49)
  30. Hawaii (15, 40)
  31. Washington (37, 18)
  32. Alabama (23, 33)
  33. California (34, 23)
  34. Arkansas (29, 30)
  35. Oregon (50, 10)
  36. Oklahoma (47, 13)
  37. Delaware (16, 45)
  38. Rhode Island (11, 51)
  39. South Dakota (43, 21)
  40. Texas (42, 25)
  41. Alaska (51, 17)
  42. Massachusetts (22, 46)
  43. Connecticut (25, 44)
  44. South Carolina (33, 37)
  45. Michigan (36, 35)
  46. Mississippi (39, 34)
  47. Louisiana (31, 43)
  48. Missouri (44, 36)
  49. Utah (49, 31)
  50. West Virginia (46, 38)
  51. Kansas (48, 42)

So we are seeing the Omicron wave state to impact states where cases had gone back to very low levels. Would expect to see improving performance in the states that are ranked low in growth rate as some of the other states where growth is accelerating catch them.

Until we start seeing states actually peak and come down, it is hard to predict the length of this wave. In South Africa, it was about four weeks. But it was also summer there which might limit the spread of a respiratory virus. We wait and see what happens.

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